Thursday, June 05, 2008

Re: Prediction

Absolutely no chance Sen. Clinton runs as third party candidate. None. The Clintons have already soured many of the Dems and most of the MSM. Were she to run as a third party candidate, the Clintons would become anathema to both.

I also think that there is almost no chance that she is offered a VP slot though I think she’d take it. She’d want the kind of freedom and power that Reagan offered Ford when RR was looking for a VP before deciding on Bush the Elder. And while Lynne Cheney is as smart and charming and active as any Second Lady I can recall, still we hear very little about her. Can you imagine the headlines and camera time President Clinton would seek as Second Husband? The "dream ticket" is a three for one. If I were Senator Obama, I’d never do that.

What I might do if I were Obama is promise to nominate her for (shudder) a place on the Supreme Court. This was a topic of discussion on The Corner yesterday. I don’t think she could get confirmed unless the predicted slam of the Republicans in the Senate races actually takes place. I would publicly decry but privately and hypocritically support any stall tactics the Rep. Senators could muster. I think she might have just enough hubris to think she could make to the bench and therefore accept Sen. Obama’s offer.

As for the prediction, still too early for me. McCain is polling much better than I expected but I don’t think all those Sen. Clinton supporters we heard about this weekend are really going to stay home or vote for McCain in November. I agree with Steph (and Stewart and the Fox panel) that he was a disaster on Tuesday. There is no way McCain can compete with Sen. Obama on charisma. His handlers need to tell him to be himself...the "straight talking," curmudgeonly, veteran grandfather type. America can embrace that because we all know that guy. It is too bad that Reagan already used the age issue against Vice President Mondale in a single debate line that, had that election been close, I’d have said won it for RR. RR ran as the charming optimistic grandfather. McCain should run as the, if not dour, then gruff optimistic (oxymoronic, I know) grandfather.

Sheesh. I hope he’s talking to Sarah Palin. Her name has not been tossed around enough.

9 comments:

Stephanie said...

I agree that there's no way Obama picks her for VP. There are so many reasons he won't, including the three-for-one problem and the power-struggle problem. Another reason is that she declared McCain more fit for job than Obama. Also seriously doubt the independent run, although that strikes me as more possible than the VP slot. Doubt that she'd want the S.Ct job; way too quiet over there for her, I think.

Stephanie said...

And Scooter, we need a prediction from you. Of course it's too early; that's the fun of predicting. Otherwise it's just KNOWING. No guts, no glory.

Scooter said...

Oh, ok. I'll think about it and put something up today.

love johnson said...

Everyone (I think) knows how much I dislike Hillary and I would be appalled if she were nominated for the SC. I don't think she's qualified to be President - what would make anyone think she is/would be qualified for the SC? Her stellar work at the Rose Law firm in Little Rock 20+ years ago??
I'd rather she her as President - at least after 8 years she would have to be gone.

Stephanie said...

I agree, LJ, that she's not qualified for SCt.

Scooter said...

I certainly don't think she's qualified but I bet she could get thru if the Senate has 60 dems.

Stephanie said...

Yep, Scooter, I know you weren't suggesting she's qualified. Obama has been a constitutional law prof. There's no way he'll nominate someone unqualified.

Scooter said...

Hmmm, maybe. Hope you're right.

Ted said...

Bottom line, with Palin as VP, McCain WINS.

Without Palin, McCain likely does not win.

Case closed.