Saturday, November 08, 2008
I went to gun show today and it was shoulder to shoulder. I got there about 9:15 (a quarter hour after opening and the line was outside the convention center about 100 yards or so. On entry, I noted that 75% or so of the visitors headed straight to the "Ammo" tables to make bulk purchases.
When I asked the ammunition sellers what the deal was the answer was this, "We don't think the guns can be too severely restricted following Heller, but we do think that ammunition taxes will rise sharply."
I didn't buy a thing but noted that a rifle I had seen at a previous show had jumped from $1,200 to $1,700.
Just posting for anecdotal interest. I'm the only nut here.
2008 -7.08 -7.43 -7.46 Barack Obama
2004 +3.51 +3.15 +2.73 George W. Bush
2000 -3.19 -4.60 -11.32 No decision: G.W. Bush v Al Gore*
1996 +2.28 +2.34 +2.31 William Clinton
1992 -0.38 -0.56 +2.02 William Clinton
1988 -2.84 -2.63 -1.34 George H. W. Bush
1984 -2.02 -1.65 -0.42 Ronald Reagan
1980 -0.51 +0.11 +0.19 Ronald Reagan
1976 -2.38 -2.21 -1.02 James Carter
1972 +1.06 -0.22 -0.34 Richard Nixon
1968 +1.35 +0.82 --- Richard Nixon
1964 +0.16 +0.06 --- Lyndon Johnson
1960 +1.84 +1.38 --- John Kennedy
1956 -2.02 -2.65 --- Dwight Eisenhower
1952 +1.20 +0.73 --- Dwight Eisenhower
1948 -6.00 -7.16 --- Harry Truman
1944 +0.11 +0.31 --- Franklin Roosevelt
1940 +1.06 +0.81 --- Franklin Roosevelt
1936 +2.79 +1.40 --- Franklin Roosevelt
1932 +5.34 +8.02 --- Franklin Roosevelt
1928 +2.13 +1.99 --- Herbert Hoover
1924 +0.93 --- --- Calvin Coolidge
1920 -2.34 --- --- Warren Harding
1916 +0.41 --- --- Woodrow Wilson
1912 +1.13 --- --- Woodrow Wilson
1908 +5.28 --- --- William Taft
1904 +2.75 --- --- Theodore Roosevelt
1900 +7.03 --- --- William McKinley
1896 +5.86 --- --- William McKinley
Friday, November 07, 2008
One source involved in preparing her for interviews and the vice
presidential debate told CNN "she had not paid attention to a single policy debate that's gone on in this country for 10 years."
He has an unlisted number but if you pay the money, they give you his name, number and several recent addresses.
I called last week and could only get to "customer service" and the person on the other end said she couldn’t give me the names of any of the company officers and that I should send a letter addressed to their president. They also wouldn't say how they obtained the unlisted number.
I sent the "cease and desist" letter which the post office reports was received yesterday. Any thoughts as to whether they are doing anything wrong? My client believes it is discrimination of some sort because when other names in similar occupations are entered, those names don't come up.
10. It's not rocket science
8. shouldn't of
7. it's a nightmare
5. with all due respect
4. At this moment in time
3. I personally
2. fairly unique
1. at the end of the day
I'd like to see "I'll tell you what" on the list. Obama picked it up somewhere along the way, and I suspect Biden of being his influence.
Come January, President Obama will inherit the weakest U.S. economy in 25 years, with output shrinking, unemployment rising, the federal deficit out of control and a financial system on government life-support. The new president will probably spend his first year in office careering from crisis to crisis, throwing lifelines to hard-hit households, local governments, industries and developing countries.Oh yeah, and an unemployment rate that's at 6.5%.
Thursday, November 06, 2008
Margin-call selling into a collapsing market kept pressuring the Nasdaq index to a bottom of 2332.78 on December 20, just days after the Supreme Court resolved the presidential election in favor of George W. Bush.
In 2001, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 7.1% more, closing the year at 10021.50, but it could have been far worse. By March of that year, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), the economy had slipped into what by historical standards was a shorter-than-average recession, which might have ended sooner if not for the atrocities committed on September 11.
The White House chief of staff is not a chief strategist or a chief advocate. He is a manager of people and of process. Above all else, he sets the tone internally, and shapes the president’s decision process and the feel of the upper tiers of the administration. Obama is especially in need of someone who will lead him to decisions, because he appears to be intensely averse to making difficult choices—which is the essence of what the president does. His inclination is to step back and conceptualize the choice out of existence, looking reasonable but doing nothing. To overcome this, he will need a chief of staff with a sense of the gravity of the choices the president faces, and one capable of moving the staff to decision, keeping big egos satisfied and calm, and resisting the pressure to be purely reactive to momentary distractions. None of this spells Rahm Emanuel. There is definitely a place for a Rahm Emanuel type of brilliant ruthless shark in a White House staff, but not in the Chief’s office. Not a good first sign.
Most encouraging thing he said was that “humint” has improved greatly over the last seven years. Most discouraging thing he said? That is difficult.
Was it that the top Al-Q guys now all hang out in London and there are so many that MI5, the Yard, etc. cannot even surveil them constantly? Training still primarily in Pakistan but planning is taking place in London.
Was it that the number three most likely US target after NYC and DC is probably Houston due to it being the energy capital?
Or perhaps was it that the situation in Mexico is getting so bad that if he were president he might even consider abandoning Karzai and Afghanistan to assist Calderon and turn those resources southward?
I say they had a duty to replace her.
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
It was true. [Greg] Craig read Obama's book "The Audacity of Hope," which, Craig said, "floored me," and later chanced to ride with Obama on the Washington shuttle. He read Obama's earlier autobiography, "Dreams From My Father," and was "blown away," he recalled. "In my judgment, he showed more insight and maturity than Bill Clinton at the age of 60 in terms of understanding himself." In November 2006, Craig sat next to George Stevens, an old friend of the Robert Kennedy clan, at another Obama speech. Stevens leaned over to Craig and said, "What do you think of this guy for president? I haven't heard anybody like this since Bobby Kennedy." Craig instantly replied, "Sign me up." Stevens and Craig approached Obama coming out of the speech and asked, "What are you doing in 2008?" Obama gave them a big grin and said, "Oh, man, it wasn't that good." But before long Craig and Stevens were raising money for Obama's political-action committee, the Hope Fund. Obama was amused by the devotion of the two old Kennedy hands. After a while, every time he saw the two men he would say, "Here come the Kool-Aid boys."
UPDATE: Michael posts that this story is a hoax.
As a middle-aged white guy from the South who can still remember the time in my grandfather's hometown in Oklahoma when my brother and I begged my grandfather to allow us to swim in the "mixed swim" hour at the city pool, I can't imagine how yesterday must have felt.
It was the sixties, the second half of the sixties.
2:00-3:00 White Swim
3:00-4:00 Colored Swim
4:00-5:00 Mixed Swim
Thankfully, I was too young to appreciate what that meant or to be aware of any violence being perpetrated against African-Americans (or other rights being violated). I was kid who just wanted to swim.
I know this must be a day of phenomenal pride for African-Americans, whether liberal, moderate or conservative. Heck, in that respect, it is a day of pride for me, too.
I thought McCain's speech last night was excellent. Besides the content being pitch perfect, I thought it was well-delivered. If the campaigning McCain had sounded like the conceding McCain, I think it could have gone differently.
I've read the WaPo and the NYT behind-the-scenes stories. (The NYT story is lame.) Looking forward to the Newsweek story. If you come across good ones, please point them out.
On another note, I've been wondering what it was like for the brand manager for Kool Aid the day the Jim Jones et al story broke: "Why oh why didn't they use Tang instead?!" But I see from Wikipedia that they didn't use Kool Aid; it was Flavor Aid.
I'll look at RCP averages later, if they don't do it themselves.
But now a different, and even harder chapter begins. For many reasons I believe that our new President will be held to a higher standard to accomplish things, to change things, to heal the divide. He'll also get a longer grace period. I heard last night that his team has studied the 1st 2 years of the Clinton administration, to learn from their mistakes for over-reaching. All say they have (his team), and he has, learned those lessons. Let's hope so.
Taxes and the Economy? Nope. The Economy is far too strong and big to remain sluggish for too long. And, as stated earlier, I’ll trust the 95% assurance on taxes for now. Policies can hinder growth or slow recovery, but we run the economy.
The War? Yep. Islamic Radicalism is still the greatest challenge facing this country. May God grant President-elect Obama Solomon-like wisdom and David-like strength in his decisions and actions.
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Time will tell, but I wonder if this is more about the MN Senate seat than about Obama.
Monday, November 03, 2008
ANCHORAGE, Alaska -- A report has cleared Gov. Sarah Palin of ethics violations in the firing of her public safety commissioner.
The report, released Monday, said: "There is no probable cause to believe that the governor, or any other state official, violated the Alaska Executive Ethics Act in connection with these matters."
*Semi-correction: I can't find it, but I know Steph raised it somewhere. Unless she didn't.
When, however, Yavelow compared Obama’s Dreams with Bill Ayers’ memoir, Fugitive Days, he found the similarity of the two books “striking.” He then quickly corrects himself: “’Striking’ is an understatement for the relationship FictionFixer uncovered between Fugitive Days and Dreams From My Father.”
For instance, Dreams averages 17.61 words and 26.48 syllables for non-dialogue sentences. Fugitive Days averages 17.62 words and 26.27 syllables.
Another example is what Yavelow calls “attributions”—e.g., he “asked,” she “said,” they “wondered.” Some authors use as few as three. Many use fewer than twenty. Dreams, however, uses 36; Fugitive Days 34, and with only four exceptions—three of these used only once—the two books use the very same attributions.
Recently, a fellow member of my Lions Club and friend has begun doing the news on the half hour for Austin's biggest AM radio station KLBJ. She has a great voice and is perfect for this job. Still, for some reason, rather than it being "cool," I'm somewhat disturbed every time I hear her on the air. I have no idea why I feel that way.
After the Mizzou game, I started to drink the Kool-Aid but the closeness of the OSU game brought me back to reality. I'd have said as little as two and as many as four losses at the season's start with this year being one to teach and provide experience for young running backs and defensive secondary. With this defense and the loss of our only legitimate tight end, this season has been a bubble waiting to burst.
At No. 4, we're still likely to play in a BCS bowl if we avoid another loss.
Update: More on the birth certificate nonsense.
Then I get a robo-email in which the first two sentences read:
As you are no doubt aware, with the current fluctuations in the economy, the legal market is beginning to slow quite dramatically. Especially hard hit are attorneys working in the securities and real estate sectors.
Sunday, November 02, 2008
And from where I’m sitting, all of these charges, brought about by another
explanation for the similarities in the Ayers and Obama tomes, are every bit as
revealing: Obama may not have had his book ghostwritten. But it is possible, if
the science is to be believed, that Obama had so internalized Ayers’ style — and
was so taken by his method of argumentation and the force of his ideology — that
he wrote a derivative work that, in a number of passages, bordered on
Hardly what one would expect from someone who didn’t know of
Ayers’ past, and who considered him “just some guy from the neighborhood.”