Thursday, November 06, 2008

Lunchtime Speaker from stratfor.com

Speaker today was Fred Burton of stratfor.com, a private intelligence firm here in Austin. Burton is a former spook and author of Ghost—Confessions of a Counterterrorism Agent. He served under Bush the Elder and Clinton and has good and bad to say of both.

Most encouraging thing he said was that “humint” has improved greatly over the last seven years. Most discouraging thing he said? That is difficult.

Was it that the top Al-Q guys now all hang out in London and there are so many that MI5, the Yard, etc. cannot even surveil them constantly? Training still primarily in Pakistan but planning is taking place in London.

Was it that the number three most likely US target after NYC and DC is probably Houston due to it being the energy capital?

Or perhaps was it that the situation in Mexico is getting so bad that if he were president he might even consider abandoning Karzai and Afghanistan to assist Calderon and turn those resources southward?

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